Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico Betting tips for October 20 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico, Sunday, 20/10/2024

📅 20/10/2024 20:00

Patriotas FC 1.96

X 3.10

Boyaca Chico 4.31

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico:

🔮 Patriotas FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Patriotas FC, you can win up to $980.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Patriotas FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-310.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Boyaca Chico in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Patriotas FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico, with Patriotas FC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Patriotas FC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Patriotas FC conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Boyaca Chico conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Patriotas FC has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Boyaca Chico playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Boyaca Chico as away team: it comes from 9 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico for the Colombia Primera A – 20 of October

When the best bet on Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203916 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico

Is it worth betting on Patriotas FC?

🔵 Patriotas FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $547.20
• And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$117.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $567.00;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Boyaca Chico?

🔴 Boyaca Chico: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.31. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $562.70;
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$267.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Patriotas FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Patriotas FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Patriotas FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Patriotas FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Patriotas FC x Boyaca Chico

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.