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Home » Predictions » Others » Rosario Central x Banfield Betting tips for October 20 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Sunday, 20 October 2024, 20h15 Argentina Liga Profesional
Rosario Central Rosario Central
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 45% 1 X 2
Banfield Banfield
ODD: @3.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Rosario Central x Banfield Betting tips for October 20 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Rosario Central x Banfield, Sunday, 20/10/2024
📅 20/10/2024
20:15
Rosario Central Rosario Central
2.00
X
3.05
Banfield Banfield
3.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Rosario Central x Banfield:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1525.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Rosario Central x Banfield:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Rosario Central in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $335.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Banfield in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Rosario Central scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Rosario Central x Banfield?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Rosario Central x Banfield, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Rosario Central x Banfield for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 20 of October

🏟️ Rosario Central X Banfield – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 20 of October, 2024 – 20:15
🔵 Rosario Central – Winning probability: 44.59% | Fair line: 2.24
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 45.42% | Fair line: 2.2
🔴 Banfield – Winning probability: 10.00% | Fair line: 10.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Rosario Central
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Rosario Central x Banfield right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1204968 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Rosario Central x Banfield

Is it worth betting on Rosario Central?

🔵 Rosario Central: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $450.00;
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $922.50;
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$372.50.

Is it worth betting on Banfield?

🔴 Banfield: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $280.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$620.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Rosario Central x Banfield

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Rosario Central
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rosario Central x Banfield

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Rosario Central and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Rosario Central.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Rosario Central.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rosario Central x Banfield

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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