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Home » Predictions » Others » San Lorenzo x Barracas Central Betting tips for October 20 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Sunday, 20 October 2024, 22h30 Argentina Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
PREDICTION San Lorenzo wins Probability 68% 1 X 2
Barracas Central Barracas Central
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

San Lorenzo x Barracas Central Betting tips for October 20 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for San Lorenzo x Barracas Central, Sunday, 20/10/2024
📅 20/10/2024
22:30
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
1.70
X
3.30
Barracas Central Barracas Central
5.23

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for San Lorenzo x Barracas Central:

🔮 San Lorenzo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on San Lorenzo, you can win up to $850.00!

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The main points for the tip for San Lorenzo x Barracas Central:

👉 If you had bet $100 on San Lorenzo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-35.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Barracas Central in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $350.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from San Lorenzo x Barracas Central for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 20 of October

🏟️ San Lorenzo X Barracas Central – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 20 of October, 2024 – 22:30
🔵 San Lorenzo – Winning probability: 68.34% | Fair line: 1.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.16% | Fair line: 4.96
🔴 Barracas Central – Winning probability: 11.50% | Fair line: 8.69
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 San Lorenzo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for San Lorenzo x Barracas Central right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1204968 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for San Lorenzo x Barracas Central

Is it a good idea to bet on San Lorenzo?

🔵 San Lorenzo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $476.00
  • And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$156.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $460.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$340.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Barracas Central?

🔴 Barracas Central: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.23. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $507.60
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$372.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match San Lorenzo x Barracas Central

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 San Lorenzo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for San Lorenzo x Barracas Central

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 San Lorenzo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 San Lorenzo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Barracas Central.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for San Lorenzo x Barracas Central

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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