Atlante x Correcaminos Betting tips for October 20 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Atlante x Correcaminos, Sunday, 20/10/2024

📅 20/10/2024 23:00

Atlante 1.14

X 7.00

Correcaminos 14.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atlante x Correcaminos:

🔮 Atlante wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atlante, you can win up to $570.00!

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Important information for your tip for Atlante x Correcaminos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Correcaminos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Atlante scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Correcaminos, Atlante scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Correcaminos matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Atlante x Correcaminos, with Atlante as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Correcaminos conceded at least 3 goal(s). 👉 Atlante has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Correcaminos. 👉 It is not a good time for Correcaminos as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Atlante x Correcaminos for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 20 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atlante and Correcaminos.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1204968 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atlante x Correcaminos

Is it a good idea to bet on Atlante?

🔵 Atlante: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 990 times – this would give you a profit of $138.60
• And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$128.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $60.00;
• And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$930.00.

Is betting on Correcaminos worth it?

🔴 Correcaminos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 14.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atlante x Correcaminos

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Atlante
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atlante x Correcaminos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Atlante and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 Atlante.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Correcaminos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atlante x Correcaminos

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.