Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga Betting tips for October 21 in Colombia Primera A
Monday, 21 October 2024, 01h00 Colombia Primera A
Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas
PREDICTION No tip
Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga
Don't miss this prediction!

Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga Betting tips for October 21 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga, Monday, 21/10/2024
πŸ“… 21/10/2024
01:00
Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas
2.15
X
2.85
Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga
3.65

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga

Some important points for the tip for Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Aguilas Doradas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-43.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico Bucaramanga in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $590.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the home team, Aguilas Doradas scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Atletico Bucaramanga, Aguilas Doradas scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Aguilas Doradas matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 road matches, Atletico Bucaramanga has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Aguilas Doradas has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Atletico Bucaramanga playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga for the Colombia Primera A – 21 of October

🏟️ Aguilas Doradas X Atletico Bucaramanga – Colombia Primera A
πŸ“… 21 of October, 2024 – 01:00
πŸ”΅ Aguilas Doradas – Winning probability: 45.32% | Fair line: 2.21
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.99% | Fair line: 3.23
πŸ”΄ Atletico Bucaramanga – Winning probability: 23.69% | Fair line: 4.22
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Aguilas Doradas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1204968 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga

Is betting on Aguilas Doradas worth it?

πŸ”΅ Aguilas Doradas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $517.50
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$32.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $573.50;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$116.50.

Is it worth betting on Atletico Bucaramanga?

πŸ”΄ Atletico Bucaramanga: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $636.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$124.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Aguilas Doradas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Aguilas Doradas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Aguilas Doradas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Aguilas Doradas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aguilas Doradas x Atletico Bucaramanga

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteΓΊdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters