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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Chapecoense x Goias Betting tips for October 21 in Brazil Serie B
Monday, 21 October 2024, 23h00 Brazil Serie B
Chapecoense Chapecoense
PREDICTION Goias Wins Probability 45% 1 X 2
Goias Goias
ODD: @2.82 Don't miss this prediction!

Chapecoense x Goias Betting tips for October 21 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Chapecoense x Goias, Monday, 21/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 21/10/2024
23:00
Chapecoense Chapecoense
2.60
X
2.92
Goias Goias
2.82

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Chapecoense x Goias:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Goias wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Goias, you can win up to $1410.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Chapecoense x Goias:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Chapecoense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $680.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Goias in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Chapecoense scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Chapecoense is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Goias has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Chapecoense x Goias?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Chapecoense x Goias, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Chapecoense x Goias for the Brazil Serie B – 21 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Chapecoense X Goias – Brazil Serie B
๐Ÿ“… 21 of October, 2024 – 23:00
๐Ÿ”ต Chapecoense – Winning probability: 24.07% | Fair line: 4.16
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.46% | Fair line: 3.28
๐Ÿ”ด Goias – Winning probability: 45.47% | Fair line: 2.2
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Chapecoense
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chapecoense and Goias.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1206441 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chapecoense x Goias

Is it a good idea to bet on Chapecoense?

๐Ÿ”ต Chapecoense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $384.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$376.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $576.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$124.00.

Is betting on Goias worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Goias: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $819.00;
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$269.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Chapecoense x Goias

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Chapecoense
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chapecoense x Goias

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Chapecoense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Chapecoense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Goias.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chapecoense x Goias

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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