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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Monaco x Crvena Zvezda Betting tips for October 22 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 22 October 2024, 16h45 UEFA Champions League
Monaco Monaco
PREDICTION Monaco wins Probability 89% 1 X 2
Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda
ODD: @1.38 Don't miss this prediction!

Monaco x Crvena Zvezda Betting tips for October 22 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Monaco x Crvena Zvezda, Tuesday, 22/10/2024
📅 22/10/2024
16:45
Monaco Monaco
1.38
X
5.00
Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda
7.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Monaco x Crvena Zvezda:

🔮 Monaco wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monaco, you can win up to $690.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Monaco x Crvena Zvezda:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $239.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Crvena Zvezda in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-111.0.
👉 In the last 3 Crvena Zvezda matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Monaco x Crvena Zvezda?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Monaco x Crvena Zvezda:

Analysis from Monaco x Crvena Zvezda for the UEFA Champions League – 22 of October

🏟️ Monaco X Crvena Zvezda – UEFA Champions League
📅 22 of October, 2024 – 16:45
🔵 Monaco – Winning probability: 89.61% | Fair line: 1.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.58% | Fair line: 15.2
🔴 Crvena Zvezda – Winning probability: 3.81% | Fair line: 26.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Monaco x Crvena Zvezda right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1206527 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Monaco x Crvena Zvezda

Should you bet on Monaco?

🔵 Monaco: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – profiting $342.00;
  • And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$242.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $280.00
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$650.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Crvena Zvezda?

🔴 Crvena Zvezda: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $260.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$700.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Monaco x Crvena Zvezda

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monaco x Crvena Zvezda

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Monaco and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Monaco.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Monaco.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monaco x Crvena Zvezda

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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