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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Orlando Pirates x Supersport United Betting tips for October 22 in South Africa Premier
Tuesday, 22 October 2024, 17h30 South Africa Premier
Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates
PREDICTION Orlando Pirates wins Probability 68% 1 X 2
Supersport United Supersport United
ODD: @1.63 Don't miss this prediction!

Orlando Pirates x Supersport United Betting tips for October 22 in South Africa Premier

Our betting tip for Orlando Pirates x Supersport United, Tuesday, 22/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 22/10/2024
17:30
Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates
1.63
X
3.35
Supersport United Supersport United
5.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Orlando Pirates x Supersport United:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Orlando Pirates wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Orlando Pirates, you can win up to $815.00!

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Important information for your tip for Orlando Pirates x Supersport United:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Orlando Pirates in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $123.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Supersport United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-195.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Orlando Pirates scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Supersport United, Orlando Pirates scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Orlando Pirates matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Supersport United conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Orlando Pirates has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Supersport United playing at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Supersport United as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Orlando Pirates x Supersport United for the South Africa Premier – 22 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Orlando Pirates X Supersport United – South Africa Premier
๐Ÿ“… 22 of October, 2024 – 17:30
๐Ÿ”ต Orlando Pirates – Winning probability: 68.52% | Fair line: 1.46
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.66% | Fair line: 4.41
๐Ÿ”ด Supersport United – Winning probability: 8.82% | Fair line: 11.34
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Orlando Pirates
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Orlando Pirates and Supersport United.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1206527 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Orlando Pirates x Supersport United

Is it a good idea to bet on Orlando Pirates?

๐Ÿ”ต Orlando Pirates: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $434.70;
  • And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$124.70.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $540.50;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$229.50.

Is betting on Supersport United worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Supersport United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $396.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$514.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Orlando Pirates x Supersport United

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Orlando Pirates
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Orlando Pirates x Supersport United

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Orlando Pirates and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Orlando Pirates.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Supersport United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Orlando Pirates x Supersport United

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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