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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Tranmere x Grimsby Betting tips for October 22 in England League 2
Tuesday, 22 October 2024, 18h45 England League 2
Tranmere Tranmere
PREDICTION Tranmere wins Probability 52% 1 X 2
Grimsby Grimsby
ODD: @2.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Tranmere x Grimsby Betting tips for October 22 in England League 2

Our betting tip for Tranmere x Grimsby, Tuesday, 22/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 22/10/2024
18:45
Tranmere Tranmere
2.10
X
3.25
Grimsby Grimsby
3.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tranmere x Grimsby:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tranmere wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tranmere, you can win up to $1050.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Tranmere x Grimsby:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tranmere in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Grimsby in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $530.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Grimsby scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Grimsby, Tranmere scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Tranmere conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Grimsby is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Tranmere has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Grimsby playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Tranmere x Grimsby?

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Analysis from Tranmere x Grimsby for the England League 2 – 22 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Tranmere X Grimsby – England League 2
๐Ÿ“… 22 of October, 2024 – 18:45
๐Ÿ”ต Tranmere – Winning probability: 52.65% | Fair line: 1.9
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.41% | Fair line: 3.52
๐Ÿ”ด Grimsby – Winning probability: 18.94% | Fair line: 5.28
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tranmere
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tranmere x Grimsby right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1206441 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tranmere x Grimsby

Should you bet on Tranmere?

๐Ÿ”ต Tranmere: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $583.00;
  • And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$113.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $630.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$90.00.

Is it worth betting on Grimsby?

๐Ÿ”ด Grimsby: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $456.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$354.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tranmere x Grimsby

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tranmere
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tranmere x Grimsby

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Tranmere, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Tranmere.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tranmere x Grimsby

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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