Cardiff x Portsmouth Betting tips for October 22 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Cardiff x Portsmouth, Tuesday, 22/10/2024

📅 22/10/2024 18:45

Cardiff 2.04

X 3.50

Portsmouth 3.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cardiff x Portsmouth:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Cardiff x Portsmouth

The main points for the tip for Cardiff x Portsmouth: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cardiff in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-12.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Portsmouth in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Portsmouth scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Portsmouth matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Portsmouth conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Cardiff x Portsmouth for the England Championship – 22 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cardiff and Portsmouth.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1206441 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cardiff x Portsmouth

Should you bet on Cardiff?

🔵 Cardiff: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $509.60
• And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$0.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $700.00;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$20.00.

Is betting on Portsmouth worth it?

🔴 Portsmouth: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $575.00;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$195.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cardiff x Portsmouth

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Cardiff
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cardiff x Portsmouth

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Cardiff, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Cardiff.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Cardiff.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cardiff x Portsmouth

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.