Leeds x Watford Betting tips for October 22 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Leeds x Watford, Tuesday, 22/10/2024

📅 22/10/2024 18:45

Leeds 1.39

X 4.90

Watford 7.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Leeds x Watford:

🔮 Leeds wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leeds, you can win up to $695.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Leeds x Watford: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Leeds in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-20.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Watford in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Watford, Leeds scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Watford matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Watford conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Watford as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Leeds x Watford?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Leeds x Watford, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Leeds x Watford for the England Championship – 22 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Leeds x Watford right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1206527 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Leeds x Watford

Is it a good idea to bet on Leeds?

🔵 Leeds: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 870 times – this would give you a profit of $339.30
• And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$209.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – profiting $273.00;
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$657.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Watford?

🔴 Watford: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $455.00;
• And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$475.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Leeds x Watford

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Leeds
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leeds x Watford

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 Leeds, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Leeds.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Leeds.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leeds x Watford

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.