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Home » Predictions » Champions League » SK Sturm Graz x Sporting Betting tips for October 22 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 22 October 2024, 19h00 UEFA Champions League
SK Sturm Graz SK Sturm Graz
PREDICTION Sporting Wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
Sporting Sporting
ODD: @1.41 Don't miss this prediction!

SK Sturm Graz x Sporting Betting tips for October 22 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for SK Sturm Graz x Sporting, Tuesday, 22/10/2024
📅 22/10/2024
19:00
SK Sturm Graz SK Sturm Graz
6.50
X
4.50
Sporting Sporting
1.41

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for SK Sturm Graz x Sporting:

🔮 Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting, you can win up to $705.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for SK Sturm Graz x Sporting:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SK Sturm Graz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $147.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-34.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Sporting scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Sporting has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on SK Sturm Graz x Sporting?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from SK Sturm Graz x Sporting for the UEFA Champions League – 22 of October

🏟️ SK Sturm Graz X Sporting – UEFA Champions League
📅 22 of October, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 SK Sturm Graz – Winning probability: 12.92% | Fair line: 7.74
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.60% | Fair line: 13.16
🔴 Sporting – Winning probability: 79.49% | Fair line: 1.26
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 SK Sturm Graz
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on SK Sturm Graz x Sporting is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1206527 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SK Sturm Graz x Sporting

Should you bet on SK Sturm Graz?

🔵 SK Sturm Graz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $715.00
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$155.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $280.00
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$640.00.

Is betting on Sporting worth it?

🔴 Sporting: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.41. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – profiting $323.90;
  • And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$113.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SK Sturm Graz x Sporting

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 SK Sturm Graz
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SK Sturm Graz x Sporting

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 SK Sturm Graz and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 SK Sturm Graz.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 SK Sturm Graz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SK Sturm Graz x Sporting

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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