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Home ยป Predictions ยป Champions League ยป Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for October 22 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 22 October 2024, 19h00 UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid Real Madrid
PREDICTION Real Madrid wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
ODD: @1.47 Don't miss this prediction!

Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for October 22 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund, Tuesday, 22/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 22/10/2024
19:00
Real Madrid Real Madrid
1.47
X
4.75
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
6.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Real Madrid wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Madrid, you can win up to $735.00!

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The main points for the tip for Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $119.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-188.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Real Madrid scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Borussia Dortmund scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Borussia Dortmund, Real Madrid scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Borussia Dortmund matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund, with Real Madrid as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Real Madrid is good playing home: it has 8 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Real Madrid has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Borussia Dortmund playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund:

Analysis from Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund for the UEFA Champions League – 22 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Real Madrid X Borussia Dortmund – UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 22 of October, 2024 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Real Madrid – Winning probability: 84.18% | Fair line: 1.19
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.68% | Fair line: 11.52
๐Ÿ”ด Borussia Dortmund – Winning probability: 7.14% | Fair line: 14.0
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Real Madrid
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1206527 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Madrid?

๐Ÿ”ต Real Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 84.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 840 times – having a profit of $394.80;
  • And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$234.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $337.50
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$572.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Borussia Dortmund?

๐Ÿ”ด Borussia Dortmund: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $350.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$580.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Real Madrid
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Real Madrid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Real Madrid.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Borussia Dortmund.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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