Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for October 22 in UEFA Champions League
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22/10/2024 19:00 |
Real Madrid 1.47 |
X 4.75 |
Borussia Dortmund 6.00 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund:
๐ฎ Real Madrid wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Madrid, you can win up to $735.00!
The main points for the tip for Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $119.0. |
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Analysis from Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund for the UEFA Champions League – 22 of October
๐๏ธ Real Madrid X Borussia Dortmund – UEFA Champions League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1206527 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund
Is it a good idea to bet on Real Madrid?
๐ต Real Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 84.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 840 times – having a profit of $394.80;
- And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$234.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $337.50
- And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$572.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Borussia Dortmund?
๐ด Borussia Dortmund: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – profiting $350.00;
- And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$580.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Real Madrid
โฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Real Madrid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Real Madrid.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Borussia Dortmund.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Madrid x Borussia Dortmund
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.