Fluminense x Athletico Paranaense Betting tips for October 22 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Fluminense x Athletico Paranaense, Tuesday, 22/10/2024

📅 22/10/2024 22:30

Fluminense 1.95

X 3.23

Athletico Paranaense 3.96

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fluminense x Athletico Paranaense:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Fluminense x Athletico Paranaense

Some important points for the tip for Fluminense x Athletico Paranaense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $455.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletico Paranaense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Athletico Paranaense, Fluminense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Fluminense matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Athletico Paranaense conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Athletico Paranaense as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fluminense x Athletico Paranaense?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fluminense x Athletico Paranaense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Fluminense x Athletico Paranaense for the Brazil Serie A – 22 of October

When the best bet on Fluminense x Athletico Paranaense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1207610 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fluminense x Athletico Paranaense

Should you bet on Fluminense?

🔵 Fluminense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $456.00;
• And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$64.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $669.00;
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$31.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Athletico Paranaense?

🔴 Athletico Paranaense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $651.20
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$128.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fluminense x Athletico Paranaense

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Fluminense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fluminense x Athletico Paranaense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Fluminense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Fluminense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Athletico Paranaense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fluminense x Athletico Paranaense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.