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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Real Cartagena x Tigres FC Betting tips for October 22 in Colombia Primera B
Tuesday, 22 October 2024, 23h00 Colombia Primera B
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
PREDICTION Real Cartagena wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Tigres FC Tigres FC
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Real Cartagena x Tigres FC Betting tips for October 22 in Colombia Primera B

Our betting tip for Real Cartagena x Tigres FC, Tuesday, 22/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 22/10/2024
23:00
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
1.53
X
3.75
Tigres FC Tigres FC
5.55

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Real Cartagena x Tigres FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Real Cartagena wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Cartagena, you can win up to $765.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Real Cartagena x Tigres FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Cartagena in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $225.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tigres FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Real Cartagena x Tigres FC, with Real Cartagena as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Tigres FC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Tigres FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Tigres FC as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Real Cartagena x Tigres FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Real Cartagena x Tigres FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Real Cartagena x Tigres FC for the Colombia Primera B – 22 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Real Cartagena X Tigres FC – Colombia Primera B
๐Ÿ“… 22 of October, 2024 – 23:00
๐Ÿ”ต Real Cartagena – Winning probability: 86.14% | Fair line: 1.16
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.98% | Fair line: 10.02
๐Ÿ”ด Tigres FC – Winning probability: 3.88% | Fair line: 25.78
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Real Cartagena
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Real Cartagena x Tigres FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1205088 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Cartagena x Tigres FC

Should you bet on Real Cartagena?

๐Ÿ”ต Real Cartagena: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 86.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 860 times – profiting $455.80;
  • And would lose other 140 times – having a loss of -$140.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$315.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $275.00
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$625.00.

Should you bet on Tigres FC?

๐Ÿ”ด Tigres FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $182.00
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$778.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Real Cartagena x Tigres FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Real Cartagena
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Cartagena x Tigres FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Real Cartagena and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Real Cartagena.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Tigres FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Cartagena x Tigres FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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