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Home » Predictions » Others » Gremio Novorizontino x Avai Betting tips for October 23 in Brazil Serie B
Wednesday, 23 October 2024, 00h30 Brazil Serie B
Gremio Novorizontino Gremio Novorizontino
PREDICTION Gremio Novorizontino wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Avai Avai
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Gremio Novorizontino x Avai Betting tips for October 23 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Gremio Novorizontino x Avai, Wednesday, 23/10/2024
📅 23/10/2024
00:30
Gremio Novorizontino Gremio Novorizontino
1.80
X
3.16
Avai Avai
4.83

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gremio Novorizontino x Avai:

🔮 Gremio Novorizontino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gremio Novorizontino, you can win up to $900.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Gremio Novorizontino x Avai:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Gremio Novorizontino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $185.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Avai in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Gremio Novorizontino scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Gremio Novorizontino x Avai for the Brazil Serie B – 23 of October

🏟️ Gremio Novorizontino X Avai – Brazil Serie B
📅 23 of October, 2024 – 00:30
🔵 Gremio Novorizontino – Winning probability: 62.03% | Fair line: 1.61
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.24% | Fair line: 3.67
🔴 Avai – Winning probability: 10.73% | Fair line: 9.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Gremio Novorizontino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Gremio Novorizontino x Avai is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1205088 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gremio Novorizontino x Avai

Should you bet on Gremio Novorizontino?

🔵 Gremio Novorizontino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $496.00;
  • And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$116.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $583.20;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$146.80.

Is it worth betting on Avai?

🔴 Avai: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $421.30;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$468.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gremio Novorizontino x Avai

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Gremio Novorizontino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gremio Novorizontino x Avai

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Gremio Novorizontino, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Gremio Novorizontino.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gremio Novorizontino x Avai

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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