Alianza Lima x Sport Huancayo Betting tips for October 23 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for Alianza Lima x Sport Huancayo, Wednesday, 23/10/2024

📅 23/10/2024 01:15

Alianza Lima 1.19

X 6.00

Sport Huancayo 12.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Alianza Lima x Sport Huancayo:

🔮 Alianza Lima wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alianza Lima, you can win up to $595.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Alianza Lima x Sport Huancayo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza Lima in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-144.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sport Huancayo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $290.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Alianza Lima scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Sport Huancayo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Sport Huancayo, Alianza Lima scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima x Sport Huancayo, with Alianza Lima as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Sport Huancayo matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sport Huancayo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Alianza Lima has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Sport Huancayo playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Alianza Lima x Sport Huancayo?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Alianza Lima x Sport Huancayo:

Analysis from Alianza Lima x Sport Huancayo for the Peru Liga 1 – 23 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alianza Lima x Sport Huancayo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1205088 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alianza Lima x Sport Huancayo

Is betting on Alianza Lima worth it?

🔵 Alianza Lima: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 97.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.19. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 970 times – this would give you a profit of $184.30
• And would have lost other 30 times – with a loss of -$30.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$154.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $100.00
• And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$880.00.

Is it worth betting on Sport Huancayo?

🔴 Sport Huancayo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 12.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Alianza Lima x Sport Huancayo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Alianza Lima
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alianza Lima x Sport Huancayo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Alianza Lima, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 Alianza Lima.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alianza Lima x Sport Huancayo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.