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Home ยป Predictions ยป Major League Soccer ยป CF Montreal x Atlanta United Betting tips for October 22 in USA MLS Play-Offs
Tuesday, 22 October 2024, 23h30 USA MLS Play-Offs
CF Montreal CF Montreal
PREDICTION Atlanta United Wins Probability 41% 1 X 2
Atlanta United Atlanta United
ODD: @2.72 Don't miss this prediction!

CF Montreal x Atlanta United Betting tips for October 22 in USA MLS Play-Offs

Our betting tip for CF Montreal x Atlanta United, Tuesday, 22/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 22/10/2024
23:30
CF Montreal CF Montreal
2.34
X
3.65
Atlanta United Atlanta United
2.72

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CF Montreal x Atlanta United:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Atlanta United wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atlanta United, you can win up to $1360.00!

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The main points for the tip for CF Montreal x Atlanta United:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CF Montreal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $493.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atlanta United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $303.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ CF Montreal did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, CF Montreal scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Atlanta United scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Atlanta United conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ CF Montreal is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Atlanta United has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from CF Montreal x Atlanta United for the USA MLS Play-Offs – 22 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ CF Montreal X Atlanta United – USA MLS Play-Offs
๐Ÿ“… 22 of October, 2024 – 23:30
๐Ÿ”ต CF Montreal – Winning probability: 39.15% | Fair line: 2.55
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.76% | Fair line: 5.06
๐Ÿ”ด Atlanta United – Winning probability: 41.10% | Fair line: 2.43
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CF Montreal
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on CF Montreal x Atlanta United is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1207665 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CF Montreal x Atlanta United

Should you bet on CF Montreal?

๐Ÿ”ต CF Montreal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $522.60
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$87.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $530.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$270.00.

Is it worth betting on Atlanta United?

๐Ÿ”ด Atlanta United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $705.20;
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$115.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CF Montreal x Atlanta United

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CF Montreal
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CF Montreal x Atlanta United

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 CF Montreal and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 CF Montreal.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Atlanta United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CF Montreal x Atlanta United

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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