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Home » Predictions » Others » Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United Betting tips for October 22 in Mexico Segunda Division
Tuesday, 22 October 2024, 17h00 Mexico Segunda Division
Universidad Guadalajara II Universidad Guadalajara II
PREDICTION No tip
Los Cabos United Los Cabos United
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Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United Betting tips for October 22 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United, Tuesday, 22/10/2024
📅 22/10/2024
17:00
Universidad Guadalajara II Universidad Guadalajara II
2.28
X
3.28
Los Cabos United Los Cabos United
2.76

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United

The main points for the tip for Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Universidad Guadalajara II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $240.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United for the Mexico Segunda Division – 22 of October

🏟️ Universidad Guadalajara II X Los Cabos United – Mexico Segunda Division
📅 22 of October, 2024 – 17:00
🔵 Universidad Guadalajara II – Winning probability: 41.53% | Fair line: 2.41
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.34% | Fair line: 4.48
🔴 Los Cabos United – Winning probability: 36.13% | Fair line: 2.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Universidad Guadalajara II
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1206527 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United

Should you bet on Universidad Guadalajara II?

🔵 Universidad Guadalajara II: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $537.60
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$42.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $501.60;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$278.40.

Is betting on Los Cabos United worth it?

🔴 Los Cabos United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $633.60
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$6.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Universidad Guadalajara II
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Universidad Guadalajara II and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Universidad Guadalajara II.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Universidad Guadalajara II x Los Cabos United

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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