NK Bednja x HNK Rijeka Betting tips for October 22 in Croatia Cup
| 📅 22/10/2024 17:30 |
 NK Bednja33.00 |
X 14.00 |
HNK Rijeka  1.01 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for NK Bednja x HNK Rijeka:
🔮 HNK Rijeka wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on HNK Rijeka, you can win up to $505.00!
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Important information for your tip for NK Bednja x HNK Rijeka: 👉 If you had bet $100 on HNK Rijeka in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-212.0. |
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Analysis from NK Bednja x HNK Rijeka for the Croatia Cup – 22 of October
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🏟️ NK Bednja X HNK Rijeka – Croatia Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for NK Bednja x HNK Rijeka right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1206527 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for NK Bednja x HNK Rijeka
Is betting on NK Bednja worth it?
🔵 NK Bednja: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 33.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 750 times – profiting $24000.00;
- And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$23750.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 14.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
- And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Should you bet on HNK Rijeka?
🔴 HNK Rijeka: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $2.50
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$747.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match NK Bednja x HNK Rijeka
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 NK Bednja
⚽ Expected goals: 4.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Bednja x HNK Rijeka
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 NK Bednja and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 NK Bednja.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 NK Bednja.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Bednja x HNK Rijeka
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 4.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 4.25 goals.
