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Home ยป Predictions ยป Brest x Bayer Leverkusen Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 23 October 2024, 16h45 UEFA Champions League
Brest Brest
PREDICTION Bayer Leverkusen Wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Brest x Bayer Leverkusen Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Brest x Bayer Leverkusen, Wednesday, 23/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 23/10/2024
16:45
Brest Brest
5.60
X
4.33
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
1.53

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Brest x Bayer Leverkusen:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bayer Leverkusen wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayer Leverkusen, you can win up to $765.00!

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The main points for the tip for Brest x Bayer Leverkusen:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Brest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $298.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $74.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Brest scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Bayer Leverkusen scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Brest matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Bayer Leverkusen has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Brest x Bayer Leverkusen for the UEFA Champions League – 23 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Brest X Bayer Leverkusen – UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 23 of October, 2024 – 16:45
๐Ÿ”ต Brest – Winning probability: 11.32% | Fair line: 8.83
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.49% | Fair line: 10.54
๐Ÿ”ด Bayer Leverkusen – Winning probability: 79.19% | Fair line: 1.26
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Brest
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Brest and Bayer Leverkusen.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1206527 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Brest x Bayer Leverkusen

Is it a good idea to bet on Brest?

๐Ÿ”ต Brest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $506.00;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$384.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $299.70;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$610.30.

Is it worth betting on Bayer Leverkusen?

๐Ÿ”ด Bayer Leverkusen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 79.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 790 times – having a profit of $418.70;
  • And would lose other 210 times – losing -$210.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$208.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Brest x Bayer Leverkusen

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Brest
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brest x Bayer Leverkusen

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Brest and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Brest.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Brest.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brest x Bayer Leverkusen

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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