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Home ยป Predictions ยป Atalanta x Celtic Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 23 October 2024, 16h45 UEFA Champions League
Atalanta Atalanta
PREDICTION Atalanta wins Probability 89% 1 X 2
Celtic Celtic
ODD: @1.45 Don't miss this prediction!

Atalanta x Celtic Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Atalanta x Celtic, Wednesday, 23/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 23/10/2024
16:45
Atalanta Atalanta
1.45
X
4.60
Celtic Celtic
6.32

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atalanta x Celtic:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Atalanta wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atalanta, you can win up to $725.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Atalanta x Celtic:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-171.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Celtic in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $14.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Celtic scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Celtic matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Celtic conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Atalanta x Celtic for the UEFA Champions League – 23 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Atalanta X Celtic – UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 23 of October, 2024 – 16:45
๐Ÿ”ต Atalanta – Winning probability: 89.56% | Fair line: 1.12
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.51% | Fair line: 18.15
๐Ÿ”ด Celtic – Winning probability: 4.93% | Fair line: 20.28
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atalanta
โšฝ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Atalanta x Celtic is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1206527 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atalanta x Celtic

Should you bet on Atalanta?

๐Ÿ”ต Atalanta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 89.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – this would give you a profit of $405.00
  • And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$305.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $216.00;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$724.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Celtic?

๐Ÿ”ด Celtic: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $266.00;
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$684.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atalanta x Celtic

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atalanta
โšฝ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atalanta x Celtic

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Atalanta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Atalanta.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Celtic.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atalanta x Celtic

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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