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Home ยป Predictions ยป Champions League ยป Manchester City x Sparta Prague Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 23 October 2024, 19h00 UEFA Champions League
Manchester City Manchester City
PREDICTION Manchester City wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Sparta Prague Sparta Prague
ODD: @1.07 Don't miss this prediction!

Manchester City x Sparta Prague Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Manchester City x Sparta Prague, Wednesday, 23/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 23/10/2024
19:00
Manchester City Manchester City
1.07
X
12.00
Sparta Prague Sparta Prague
29.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Manchester City x Sparta Prague:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Manchester City wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester City, you can win up to $535.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Manchester City x Sparta Prague:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-144.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sparta Prague in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $82.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Manchester City scored at least 2.0 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Sparta Prague scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Manchester City matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Manchester City conceded at least 1.0 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Manchester City x Sparta Prague?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Manchester City x Sparta Prague, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Manchester City x Sparta Prague for the UEFA Champions League – 23 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Manchester City X Sparta Prague – UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 23 of October, 2024 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Manchester City – Winning probability: 99.96% | Fair line: 1.0
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.03% | Fair line: 3003.87
๐Ÿ”ด Sparta Prague – Winning probability: 0.00% | Fair line: 47579.62
โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.75 Manchester City
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 11.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Manchester City x Sparta Prague is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1207665 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Manchester City x Sparta Prague

Is it worth betting on Manchester City?

๐Ÿ”ต Manchester City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.07. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 1000 times – this would give you a profit of $70.00
  • And would lose other 0 times – losing -$0.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$70.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 12.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$1000.00.

Is betting on Sparta Prague worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Sparta Prague: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 29.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester City x Sparta Prague

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.75 Manchester City
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester City x Sparta Prague

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.75 Manchester City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.75 Manchester City.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester City x Sparta Prague

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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