Atletico Madrid x Lille Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Champions League
📅 23/10/2024 19:00 |
Atletico Madrid 1.46 |
X 4.39 |
Lille 7.00 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Madrid x Lille:
🔮 Atletico Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid, you can win up to $730.00!
Some important points for the tip for Atletico Madrid x Lille: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-64.0. |
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Analysis from Atletico Madrid x Lille for the UEFA Champions League – 23 of October
🏟️ Atletico Madrid X Lille – UEFA Champions League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Madrid x Lille right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1207665 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Lille
Is it worth betting on Atletico Madrid?
🔵 Atletico Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 79.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 790 times – profiting $363.40;
- And would lose other 210 times – having a loss of -$210.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$153.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $508.50
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$341.50.
Should you bet on Lille?
🔴 Lille: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $360.00;
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$580.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Madrid x Lille
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Atletico Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Lille
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Atletico Madrid and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Atletico Madrid. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Madrid x Lille
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.