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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Young Boys x Inter Milan Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 23 October 2024, 19h00 UEFA Champions League
Young Boys Young Boys
PREDICTION Inter Milan Wins Probability 89% 1 X 2
Inter Milan Inter Milan
ODD: @1.41 Don't miss this prediction!

Young Boys x Inter Milan Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Young Boys x Inter Milan, Wednesday, 23/10/2024
📅 23/10/2024
19:00
Young Boys Young Boys
6.70
X
4.75
Inter Milan Inter Milan
1.41

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Young Boys x Inter Milan:

🔮 Inter Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Inter Milan, you can win up to $705.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Young Boys x Inter Milan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Young Boys in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $65.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-173.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Young Boys conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Inter Milan has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Young Boys x Inter Milan?

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Analysis from Young Boys x Inter Milan for the UEFA Champions League – 23 of October

🏟️ Young Boys X Inter Milan – UEFA Champions League
📅 23 of October, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Young Boys – Winning probability: 3.83% | Fair line: 26.1
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.82% | Fair line: 14.66
🔴 Inter Milan – Winning probability: 89.35% | Fair line: 1.12
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 Young Boys
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Young Boys x Inter Milan right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1207665 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Young Boys x Inter Milan

Is betting on Young Boys worth it?

🔵 Young Boys: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $228.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$732.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $262.50;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$667.50.

Is it worth betting on Inter Milan?

🔴 Inter Milan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 89.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.41. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 890 times – having a profit of $364.90;
  • And would lose other 110 times – having a loss of -$110.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$254.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Young Boys x Inter Milan

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 Young Boys
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Young Boys x Inter Milan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +2.25 Young Boys and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Young Boys.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Inter Milan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Young Boys x Inter Milan

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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