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Home » Predictions » Champions League » RB Leipzig x Liverpool Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 23 October 2024, 19h00 UEFA Champions League
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
PREDICTION Liverpool Wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Liverpool Liverpool
ODD: @1.89 Don't miss this prediction!

RB Leipzig x Liverpool Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for RB Leipzig x Liverpool, Wednesday, 23/10/2024
📅 23/10/2024
19:00
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
3.70
X
3.85
Liverpool Liverpool
1.89

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for RB Leipzig x Liverpool:

🔮 Liverpool wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $945.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for RB Leipzig x Liverpool:

👉 If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-234.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $307.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Liverpool is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 5 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on RB Leipzig x Liverpool?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from RB Leipzig x Liverpool for the UEFA Champions League – 23 of October

🏟️ RB Leipzig X Liverpool – UEFA Champions League
📅 23 of October, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 RB Leipzig – Winning probability: 21.79% | Fair line: 4.59
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.13% | Fair line: 5.52
🔴 Liverpool – Winning probability: 60.08% | Fair line: 1.66
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 RB Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for RB Leipzig x Liverpool right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1207665 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for RB Leipzig x Liverpool

Should you bet on RB Leipzig?

🔵 RB Leipzig: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $594.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$186.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $513.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$307.00.

Is betting on Liverpool worth it?

🔴 Liverpool: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $534.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$134.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match RB Leipzig x Liverpool

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 RB Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for RB Leipzig x Liverpool

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 RB Leipzig and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 RB Leipzig.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 RB Leipzig.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for RB Leipzig x Liverpool

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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