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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Barcelona x Bayern Munich Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 23 October 2024, 19h00 UEFA Champions League
Barcelona Barcelona
PREDICTION Barcelona wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
ODD: @2.44 Don't miss this prediction!

Barcelona x Bayern Munich Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Barcelona x Bayern Munich, Wednesday, 23/10/2024
📅 23/10/2024
19:00
Barcelona Barcelona
2.44
X
3.76
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
2.68

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Barcelona x Bayern Munich:

🔮 Barcelona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona, you can win up to $1220.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Barcelona x Bayern Munich:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $144.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayern Munich in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Barcelona scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Barcelona x Bayern Munich, with Barcelona as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Barcelona conceded at least 3 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Bayern Munich.
👉 Barcelona is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 5 home matches, it had at least 66.00% of possession.
👉 Bayern Munich is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 5 away matches, it had at least 69.00% of possession.
👉 Barcelona is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Even as a visitor, Bayern Munich won the last 3 head-to-head matches Barcelona´s territory

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Barcelona x Bayern Munich?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Barcelona x Bayern Munich:

Analysis from Barcelona x Bayern Munich for the UEFA Champions League – 23 of October

🏟️ Barcelona X Bayern Munich – UEFA Champions League
📅 23 of October, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Barcelona – Winning probability: 61.94% | Fair line: 1.61
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.10% | Fair line: 6.62
🔴 Bayern Munich – Winning probability: 22.96% | Fair line: 4.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Barcelona
⚽ Expected goals: 4.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Barcelona x Bayern Munich is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1207665 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Barcelona x Bayern Munich

Is it worth betting on Barcelona?

🔵 Barcelona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – profiting $892.80;
  • And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$512.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $414.00
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$436.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Bayern Munich?

🔴 Bayern Munich: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $386.40;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$383.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Barcelona x Bayern Munich

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Barcelona
⚽ Expected goals: 4.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barcelona x Bayern Munich

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Barcelona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Barcelona.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Barcelona.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barcelona x Bayern Munich

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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