Botafogo SP x Ituano Betting tips for October 23 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Botafogo SP x Ituano, Wednesday, 23/10/2024

📅 23/10/2024 23:00

Botafogo SP 2.05

X 3.09

Ituano 3.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Botafogo SP x Ituano:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Botafogo SP x Ituano

The main points for the tip for Botafogo SP x Ituano: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ituano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0. 👉 Ituano did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 Ituano matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Ituano conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Botafogo SP conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Ituano. 👉 It is not a good time for Ituano as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches. 👉 Even as a visitor, Ituano won the last 3 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP´s territory

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Botafogo SP x Ituano?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Botafogo SP x Ituano:

Analysis from Botafogo SP x Ituano for the Brazil Serie B – 23 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Botafogo SP x Ituano right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1207668 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Botafogo SP x Ituano

Is it a good idea to bet on Botafogo SP?

🔵 Botafogo SP: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $493.50
• And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$36.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.09. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $668.80;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$11.20.

Is betting on Ituano worth it?

🔴 Ituano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $577.50;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$212.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Botafogo SP x Ituano

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Botafogo SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Botafogo SP x Ituano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Botafogo SP and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Botafogo SP.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Ituano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botafogo SP x Ituano

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.