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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Operario PR x America MG Betting tips for October 24 in Brazil Serie B
Thursday, 24 October 2024, 00h30 Brazil Serie B
Operario PR Operario PR
PREDICTION No tip
America MG America MG
Don't miss this prediction!

Operario PR x America MG Betting tips for October 24 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Operario PR x America MG, Thursday, 24/10/2024
πŸ“… 24/10/2024
00:30
Operario PR Operario PR
2.86
X
2.82
America MG America MG
2.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Operario PR x America MG:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Operario PR x America MG

The main points for the tip for Operario PR x America MG:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Operario PR in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $163.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on America MG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Operario PR scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, America MG scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Operario PR x America MG, with Operario PR as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Operario PR x America MG?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Operario PR x America MG, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Operario PR x America MG for the Brazil Serie B – 24 of October

🏟️ Operario PR X America MG – Brazil Serie B
πŸ“… 24 of October, 2024 – 00:30
πŸ”΅ Operario PR – Winning probability: 35.86% | Fair line: 2.79
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.54% | Fair line: 3.39
πŸ”΄ America MG – Winning probability: 34.60% | Fair line: 2.89
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Operario PR
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Operario PR x America MG right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1207668 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Operario PR x America MG

Is it worth betting on Operario PR?

πŸ”΅ Operario PR: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $669.60;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$29.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $546.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$154.00.

Is it worth betting on America MG?

πŸ”΄ America MG: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $560.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$90.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Operario PR x America MG

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Operario PR
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Operario PR x America MG

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Operario PR, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Operario PR.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 America MG.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Operario PR x America MG

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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