Botafogo x Penarol Betting tips for October 24 in Copa Libertadores
| 📅 24/10/2024 00:30 |
 Botafogo1.49 |
X 3.65 |
Penarol  7.20 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Botafogo x Penarol:
🔮 Botafogo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Botafogo, you can win up to $745.00!
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Important information for your tip for Botafogo x Penarol: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-178.0. |
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Analysis from Botafogo x Penarol for the Copa Libertadores – 24 of October
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🏟️ Botafogo X Penarol – Copa Libertadores |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Botafogo and Penarol.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1207748 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Botafogo x Penarol
Is it a good idea to bet on Botafogo?
🔵 Botafogo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 83.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $411.60
- And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$251.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $318.00
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$562.00.
Is betting on Penarol worth it?
🔴 Penarol: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $248.00;
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$712.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Botafogo x Penarol
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Botafogo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Botafogo x Penarol
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Botafogo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Botafogo. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botafogo x Penarol
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
