Monterrey x Unam Pumas Betting tips for October 24 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Monterrey x Unam Pumas, Thursday, 24/10/2024

📅 24/10/2024 01:00

Monterrey 2.20

X 3.30

Unam Pumas 3.04

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Monterrey x Unam Pumas:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Monterrey x Unam Pumas

Some important points for the tip for Monterrey x Unam Pumas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monterrey in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-108.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Unam Pumas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Unam Pumas, Monterrey scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Unam Pumas matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Monterrey has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Unam Pumas playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Monterrey x Unam Pumas?

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Analysis from Monterrey x Unam Pumas for the Mexico Liga MX – 24 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Monterrey and Unam Pumas.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1207748 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monterrey x Unam Pumas

Should you bet on Monterrey?

🔵 Monterrey: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $552.00;
• And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$12.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $667.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$43.00.

Should you bet on Unam Pumas?

🔴 Unam Pumas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$240.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Monterrey x Unam Pumas

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Monterrey
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monterrey x Unam Pumas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Monterrey, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Monterrey.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Monterrey.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monterrey x Unam Pumas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.