Vancouver Whitecaps x Portland Timbers Betting tips for October 24 in USA MLS Play-Offs

Our betting tip for Vancouver Whitecaps x Portland Timbers, Thursday, 24/10/2024

📅 24/10/2024 02:30

Vancouver Whitecaps 3.15

X 3.85

Portland Timbers 2.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Vancouver Whitecaps x Portland Timbers:

🔮 Vancouver Whitecaps wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vancouver Whitecaps, you can win up to $1575.00!

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The main points for the tip for Vancouver Whitecaps x Portland Timbers: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vancouver Whitecaps in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Portland Timbers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Portland Timbers scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Portland Timbers, Vancouver Whitecaps scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Vancouver Whitecaps conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Portland Timbers conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Portland Timbers has not lost any of them. 👉 Vancouver Whitecaps has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Portland Timbers playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Vancouver Whitecaps as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Vancouver Whitecaps x Portland Timbers?

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Analysis from Vancouver Whitecaps x Portland Timbers for the USA MLS Play-Offs – 24 of October

When the best bet on Vancouver Whitecaps x Portland Timbers is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1207748 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vancouver Whitecaps x Portland Timbers

Should you bet on Vancouver Whitecaps?

🔵 Vancouver Whitecaps: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $881.50
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$291.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $313.50
• And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$576.50.

Should you bet on Portland Timbers?

🔴 Portland Timbers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Vancouver Whitecaps x Portland Timbers

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Vancouver Whitecaps
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vancouver Whitecaps x Portland Timbers

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Vancouver Whitecaps, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Vancouver Whitecaps.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vancouver Whitecaps x Portland Timbers

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.