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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Atletico Madrid U19 x Lille U19 Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Youth League
Wednesday, 23 October 2024, 14h00 UEFA Youth League
Atletico Madrid U19 Atletico Madrid U19
PREDICTION Atletico Madrid U19 wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Lille U19 Lille U19
ODD: @1.39 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Madrid U19 x Lille U19 Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Youth League

Our betting tip for Atletico Madrid U19 x Lille U19, Wednesday, 23/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 23/10/2024
14:00
Atletico Madrid U19 Atletico Madrid U19
1.39
X
4.50
Lille U19 Lille U19
6.85

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atletico Madrid U19 x Lille U19:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Atletico Madrid U19 wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid U19, you can win up to $695.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Atletico Madrid U19 x Lille U19:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $230.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lille U19 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Atletico Madrid U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Atletico Madrid U19 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Atletico Madrid U19 is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Atletico Madrid U19 x Lille U19?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Madrid U19 x Lille U19, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico Madrid U19 x Lille U19 for the UEFA Youth League – 23 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Atletico Madrid U19 X Lille U19 – UEFA Youth League
๐Ÿ“… 23 of October, 2024 – 14:00
๐Ÿ”ต Atletico Madrid U19 – Winning probability: 90.11% | Fair line: 1.11
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.56% | Fair line: 13.22
๐Ÿ”ด Lille U19 – Winning probability: 2.33% | Fair line: 43.01
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Atletico Madrid U19
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Madrid U19 and Lille U19.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1207748 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Madrid U19 x Lille U19

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Madrid U19?

๐Ÿ”ต Atletico Madrid U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.39. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – this would give you a profit of $351.00
  • And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$251.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $280.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$640.00.

Is betting on Lille U19 worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Lille U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $117.00;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$863.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Madrid U19 x Lille U19

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Atletico Madrid U19
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid U19 x Lille U19

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Atletico Madrid U19 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Atletico Madrid U19.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Lille U19.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Madrid U19 x Lille U19

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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