BKMA FC x Pyunik Yerevan Betting tips for October 23 in Armenia Premier League
| 📅 23/10/2024 14:00 |
 BKMA FC5.75 |
X 4.66 |
Pyunik Yerevan  1.40 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for BKMA FC x Pyunik Yerevan:
🔮 Pyunik Yerevan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pyunik Yerevan, you can win up to $700.00!
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Some important points for the tip for BKMA FC x Pyunik Yerevan: 👉 If you had bet $100 on BKMA FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $440.0. |
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Analysis from BKMA FC x Pyunik Yerevan for the Armenia Premier League – 23 of October
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🏟️ BKMA FC X Pyunik Yerevan – Armenia Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for BKMA FC x Pyunik Yerevan right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1207748 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for BKMA FC x Pyunik Yerevan
Is it worth betting on BKMA FC?
🔵 BKMA FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 30 times – profiting $142.50;
- And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$827.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $658.80;
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$161.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on Pyunik Yerevan?
🔴 Pyunik Yerevan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 79.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $316.00
- And would lose other 210 times – having a loss of -$210.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$106.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match BKMA FC x Pyunik Yerevan
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 BKMA FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for BKMA FC x Pyunik Yerevan
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 BKMA FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 BKMA FC.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for BKMA FC x Pyunik Yerevan
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.
