Leon x Atlas Betting tips for October 24 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Leon x Atlas, Thursday, 24/10/2024

📅 24/10/2024 03:00

Leon 2.45

X 3.34

Atlas 2.55

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Leon x Atlas:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Leon x Atlas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Leon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Leon scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Atlas, Leon scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Atlas matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Atlas conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Leon conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Atlas. 👉 Leon has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Atlas playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Leon x Atlas?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Leon x Atlas for the Mexico Liga MX – 24 of October

When the best bet on Leon x Atlas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1207748 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Leon x Atlas

Is it a good idea to bet on Leon?

🔵 Leon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $551.00;
• And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$69.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $795.60;
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$135.60.

Is it worth betting on Atlas?

🔴 Atlas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $434.00
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$286.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Leon x Atlas

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Leon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leon x Atlas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Leon, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Leon.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Leon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leon x Atlas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.