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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Envigado FC x Aguilas Doradas Betting tips for October 24 in Colombia Primera A
Thursday, 24 October 2024, 21h00 Colombia Primera A
Envigado FC Envigado FC
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas
ODD: @2.98 Don't miss this prediction!

Envigado FC x Aguilas Doradas Betting tips for October 24 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Envigado FC x Aguilas Doradas, Thursday, 24/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 24/10/2024
21:00
Envigado FC Envigado FC
3.40
X
2.98
Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas
2.18

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Envigado FC x Aguilas Doradas:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1490.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Envigado FC x Aguilas Doradas:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Envigado FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Aguilas Doradas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Envigado FC did not score any goals in the last 6 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 Envigado FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Envigado FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Aguilas Doradas.

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Summary

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Analysis from Envigado FC x Aguilas Doradas for the Colombia Primera A – 24 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Envigado FC X Aguilas Doradas – Colombia Primera A
๐Ÿ“… 24 of October, 2024 – 21:00
๐Ÿ”ต Envigado FC – Winning probability: 19.44% | Fair line: 5.14
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.48% | Fair line: 2.53
๐Ÿ”ด Aguilas Doradas – Winning probability: 41.08% | Fair line: 2.43
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Envigado FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Envigado FC and Aguilas Doradas.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1207819 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Envigado FC x Aguilas Doradas

Is it a good idea to bet on Envigado FC?

๐Ÿ”ต Envigado FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $456.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$354.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $772.20;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$162.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Aguilas Doradas?

๐Ÿ”ด Aguilas Doradas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $483.80;
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$106.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Envigado FC x Aguilas Doradas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Envigado FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Envigado FC x Aguilas Doradas

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Envigado FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Envigado FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Aguilas Doradas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Envigado FC x Aguilas Doradas

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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