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Home ยป Predictions ยป Brazil Serie A ยป Vasco da Gama x Cuiaba Betting tips for October 24 in Brazil Serie A
Thursday, 24 October 2024, 22h00 Brazil Serie A
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
PREDICTION Vasco da Gama wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Cuiaba Cuiaba
ODD: @1.82 Don't miss this prediction!

Vasco da Gama x Cuiaba Betting tips for October 24 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Vasco da Gama x Cuiaba, Thursday, 24/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 24/10/2024
22:00
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
1.82
X
3.37
Cuiaba Cuiaba
4.33

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Vasco da Gama x Cuiaba:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Vasco da Gama wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vasco da Gama, you can win up to $910.00!

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Important information for your tip for Vasco da Gama x Cuiaba:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Vasco da Gama in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-35.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cuiaba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Cuiaba did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Vasco da Gama matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Vasco da Gama conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Vasco da Gama x Cuiaba?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Vasco da Gama x Cuiaba:

Analysis from Vasco da Gama x Cuiaba for the Brazil Serie A – 24 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Vasco da Gama X Cuiaba – Brazil Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 24 of October, 2024 – 22:00
๐Ÿ”ต Vasco da Gama – Winning probability: 63.94% | Fair line: 1.56
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.53% | Fair line: 3.63
๐Ÿ”ด Cuiaba – Winning probability: 8.52% | Fair line: 11.73
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Vasco da Gama
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vasco da Gama x Cuiaba right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1207748 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Vasco da Gama x Cuiaba

Should you bet on Vasco da Gama?

๐Ÿ”ต Vasco da Gama: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $524.80
  • And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$164.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $663.60;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$56.40.

Is it worth betting on Cuiaba?

๐Ÿ”ด Cuiaba: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $299.70;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$610.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vasco da Gama x Cuiaba

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Vasco da Gama
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vasco da Gama x Cuiaba

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Vasco da Gama and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Vasco da Gama.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vasco da Gama x Cuiaba

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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