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Home ยป Predictions ยป Sport Recife x Guarani Betting tips for October 25 in Brazil Serie B
Friday, 25 October 2024, 00h30 Brazil Serie B
Sport Recife Sport Recife
PREDICTION Sport Recife wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
Guarani Guarani
ODD: @1.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Sport Recife x Guarani Betting tips for October 25 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Sport Recife x Guarani, Friday, 25/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 25/10/2024
00:30
Sport Recife Sport Recife
1.55
X
3.65
Guarani Guarani
6.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sport Recife x Guarani:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Sport Recife wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sport Recife, you can win up to $775.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Sport Recife x Guarani:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sport Recife in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $4.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Guarani in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Sport Recife scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Guarani, Sport Recife scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Sport Recife matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Sport Recife conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Sport Recife has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Guarani playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sport Recife x Guarani?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Sport Recife x Guarani:

Analysis from Sport Recife x Guarani for the Brazil Serie B – 25 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sport Recife X Guarani – Brazil Serie B
๐Ÿ“… 25 of October, 2024 – 00:30
๐Ÿ”ต Sport Recife – Winning probability: 76.84% | Fair line: 1.3
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.31% | Fair line: 5.78
๐Ÿ”ด Guarani – Winning probability: 5.85% | Fair line: 17.1
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Sport Recife
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sport Recife x Guarani right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1207665 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sport Recife x Guarani

Is betting on Sport Recife worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Sport Recife: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 76.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 770 times – having a profit of $423.50;
  • And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$193.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $450.50;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$379.50.

Is it worth betting on Guarani?

๐Ÿ”ด Guarani: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $300.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$640.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Sport Recife x Guarani

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Sport Recife
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sport Recife x Guarani

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Sport Recife, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Sport Recife.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Guarani.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sport Recife x Guarani

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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