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Home ยป Predictions ยป Copa Sulamericana ยป Corinthians x Racing Club Betting tips for October 25 in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, 25 October 2024, 00h30 Copa Sudamericana
Corinthians Corinthians
PREDICTION Racing Club Wins Probability 38% 1 X 2
Racing Club Racing Club
ODD: @3.81 Don't miss this prediction!

Corinthians x Racing Club Betting tips for October 25 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Corinthians x Racing Club, Friday, 25/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 25/10/2024
00:30
Corinthians Corinthians
1.91
X
3.25
Racing Club Racing Club
3.81

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Corinthians x Racing Club:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Racing Club wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Racing Club, you can win up to $1905.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Corinthians x Racing Club:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $37.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Racing Club in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Racing Club did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 Racing Club matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Racing Club conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Racing Club as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Corinthians x Racing Club?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Corinthians x Racing Club for the Copa Sudamericana – 25 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Corinthians X Racing Club – Copa Sudamericana
๐Ÿ“… 25 of October, 2024 – 00:30
๐Ÿ”ต Corinthians – Winning probability: 46.16% | Fair line: 2.17
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.33% | Fair line: 6.52
๐Ÿ”ด Racing Club – Winning probability: 38.51% | Fair line: 2.6
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Corinthians
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Corinthians and Racing Club.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1207748 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Corinthians x Racing Club

Should you bet on Corinthians?

๐Ÿ”ต Corinthians: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $418.60;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$121.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $337.50;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$512.50.

Should you bet on Racing Club?

๐Ÿ”ด Racing Club: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $1095.90;
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$485.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Corinthians x Racing Club

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Corinthians
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Corinthians x Racing Club

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Corinthians and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Corinthians.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Racing Club.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Corinthians x Racing Club

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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