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Home ยป Predictions ยป Correcaminos x Tapatio Betting tips for October 25 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
Friday, 25 October 2024, 01h00 Mexico Liga de Expansion
Correcaminos Correcaminos
PREDICTION Tapatio Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Tapatio Tapatio
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction!

Correcaminos x Tapatio Betting tips for October 25 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Correcaminos x Tapatio, Friday, 25/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 25/10/2024
01:00
Correcaminos Correcaminos
3.20
X
3.60
Tapatio Tapatio
1.95

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Correcaminos x Tapatio:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tapatio wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tapatio, you can win up to $975.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Correcaminos x Tapatio:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Correcaminos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tapatio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Correcaminos scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Tapatio scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Tapatio, Correcaminos scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Correcaminos matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Correcaminos x Tapatio, with Correcaminos as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Tapatio conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Correcaminos conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Tapatio.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Correcaminos x Tapatio?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Correcaminos x Tapatio, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Correcaminos x Tapatio for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 25 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Correcaminos X Tapatio – Mexico Liga de Expansion
๐Ÿ“… 25 of October, 2024 – 01:00
๐Ÿ”ต Correcaminos – Winning probability: 16.79% | Fair line: 5.96
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.35% | Fair line: 4.11
๐Ÿ”ด Tapatio – Winning probability: 58.85% | Fair line: 1.7
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Correcaminos
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Correcaminos x Tapatio is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1207665 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Correcaminos x Tapatio

Should you bet on Correcaminos?

๐Ÿ”ต Correcaminos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $374.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$456.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $624.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$136.00.

Should you bet on Tapatio?

๐Ÿ”ด Tapatio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $560.50
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$150.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Correcaminos x Tapatio

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Correcaminos
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Correcaminos x Tapatio

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Correcaminos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Correcaminos.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Tapatio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Correcaminos x Tapatio

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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