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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Mainz x Borussia Mgladbach Betting tips for October 25 in Germany Bundesliga I
Friday, 25 October 2024, 18h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Mainz Mainz
PREDICTION Borussia Mgladbach Wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Borussia Mgladbach Borussia Mgladbach
ODD: @3.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Mainz x Borussia Mgladbach Betting tips for October 25 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Mainz x Borussia Mgladbach, Friday, 25/10/2024
📅 25/10/2024
18:30
Mainz Mainz
2.15
X
3.70
Borussia Mgladbach Borussia Mgladbach
3.05

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mainz x Borussia Mgladbach:

🔮 Borussia Mgladbach wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Mgladbach, you can win up to $1525.00!

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The main points for the tip for Mainz x Borussia Mgladbach:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Mgladbach in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $10.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Borussia Mgladbach, Mainz scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Mainz conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Mainz has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Borussia Mgladbach playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Mainz as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Mainz x Borussia Mgladbach for the Germany Bundesliga I – 25 of October

🏟️ Mainz X Borussia Mgladbach – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 25 of October, 2024 – 18:30
🔵 Mainz – Winning probability: 33.68% | Fair line: 2.97
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.28% | Fair line: 7.53
🔴 Borussia Mgladbach – Winning probability: 53.04% | Fair line: 1.89
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Mainz
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mainz x Borussia Mgladbach right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1208521 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mainz x Borussia Mgladbach

Is betting on Mainz worth it?

🔵 Mainz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $391.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$269.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $351.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$519.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Borussia Mgladbach?

🔴 Borussia Mgladbach: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – profiting $1086.50;
  • And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$616.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mainz x Borussia Mgladbach

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Mainz
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mainz x Borussia Mgladbach

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Mainz and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Mainz.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Mainz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mainz x Borussia Mgladbach

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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