Leicester x Nottm Forest Betting tips for October 25 in England Premier League
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25/10/2024 19:00 |
 Leicester2.61 |
X 3.36 |
Nottm Forest  2.58 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Leicester x Nottm Forest:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1680.00!
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Important information for your tip for Leicester x Nottm Forest: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Leicester in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0. |
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Analysis from Leicester x Nottm Forest for the England Premier League – 25 of October
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๐๏ธ Leicester X Nottm Forest – England Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Leicester x Nottm Forest right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1208023 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Leicester x Nottm Forest
Is betting on Leicester worth it?
๐ต Leicester: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $450.80;
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$269.20.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $849.60;
- And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$209.60.
Should you bet on Nottm Forest?
๐ด Nottm Forest: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $568.80;
- And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$71.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Leicester x Nottm Forest
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Leicester
โฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leicester x Nottm Forest
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Leicester and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Leicester.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Leicester.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leicester x Nottm Forest
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
