Deportivo Cuenca x Independiente del Valle Betting tips for October 26 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for Deportivo Cuenca x Independiente del Valle, Saturday, 26/10/2024

📅 26/10/2024 00:00

Deportivo Cuenca 4.39

X 3.49

Independiente del Valle 1.72

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Deportivo Cuenca x Independiente del Valle:

🔮 Independiente del Valle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente del Valle, you can win up to $860.00!

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The main points for the tip for Deportivo Cuenca x Independiente del Valle: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Cuenca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente del Valle in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $60.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Deportivo Cuenca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Independiente del Valle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Independiente del Valle, Deportivo Cuenca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Deportivo Cuenca conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Independiente del Valle. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Independiente del Valle has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Deportivo Cuenca x Independiente del Valle for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 26 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportivo Cuenca x Independiente del Valle right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1208023 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Cuenca x Independiente del Valle

Is it worth betting on Deportivo Cuenca?

🔵 Deportivo Cuenca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $508.50;
• And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$341.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $398.40
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$441.60.

Is betting on Independiente del Valle worth it?

🔴 Independiente del Valle: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $496.80
• And would have lost other 310 times – with a loss of -$310.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$186.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Cuenca x Independiente del Valle

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Deportivo Cuenca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Cuenca x Independiente del Valle

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Deportivo Cuenca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Deportivo Cuenca.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Cuenca x Independiente del Valle

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.