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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Goias x Amazonas FC Betting tips for October 26 in Brazil Serie B
Saturday, 26 October 2024, 00h30 Brazil Serie B
Goias Goias
PREDICTION No tip
Amazonas FC Amazonas FC
Don't miss this prediction!

Goias x Amazonas FC Betting tips for October 26 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Goias x Amazonas FC, Saturday, 26/10/2024
πŸ“… 26/10/2024
00:30
Goias Goias
1.83
X
3.20
Amazonas FC Amazonas FC
4.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Goias x Amazonas FC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Goias x Amazonas FC

Important information for your tip for Goias x Amazonas FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Amazonas FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Goias conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Amazonas FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Amazonas FC as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Goias x Amazonas FC for the Brazil Serie B – 26 of October

🏟️ Goias X Amazonas FC – Brazil Serie B
πŸ“… 26 of October, 2024 – 00:30
πŸ”΅ Goias – Winning probability: 56.87% | Fair line: 1.76
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.87% | Fair line: 3.72
πŸ”΄ Amazonas FC – Winning probability: 16.26% | Fair line: 6.15
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Goias
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Goias x Amazonas FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1208023 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Goias x Amazonas FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Goias?

πŸ”΅ Goias: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $473.10;
  • And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$43.10. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $594.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$136.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Amazonas FC?

πŸ”΄ Amazonas FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $560.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$280.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Goias x Amazonas FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Goias
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Goias x Amazonas FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Goias and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Goias.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Goias x Amazonas FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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