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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » St Pauli x Wolfsburg Betting tips for October 26 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 26 October 2024, 13h30 Germany Bundesliga I
St Pauli St Pauli
PREDICTION Wolfsburg Wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
ODD: @2.6 Don't miss this prediction!

St Pauli x Wolfsburg Betting tips for October 26 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for St Pauli x Wolfsburg, Saturday, 26/10/2024
📅 26/10/2024
13:30
St Pauli St Pauli
2.55
X
3.50
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
2.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for St Pauli x Wolfsburg:

🔮 Wolfsburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Wolfsburg, you can win up to $1300.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for St Pauli x Wolfsburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on St Pauli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $283.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolfsburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
👉 St Pauli did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on St Pauli x Wolfsburg?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on St Pauli x Wolfsburg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from St Pauli x Wolfsburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 26 of October

🏟️ St Pauli X Wolfsburg – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 26 of October, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 St Pauli – Winning probability: 32.38% | Fair line: 3.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.09% | Fair line: 5.53
🔴 Wolfsburg – Winning probability: 49.53% | Fair line: 2.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 St Pauli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for St Pauli x Wolfsburg right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1208521 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for St Pauli x Wolfsburg

Is it a good idea to bet on St Pauli?

🔵 St Pauli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $496.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$184.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $450.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.00.

Is betting on Wolfsburg worth it?

🔴 Wolfsburg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $800.00;
  • And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$300.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match St Pauli x Wolfsburg

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 St Pauli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Pauli x Wolfsburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 St Pauli, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 St Pauli.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Wolfsburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Pauli x Wolfsburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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