Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » RB Leipzig x SC Freiburg Betting tips for October 26 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 26 October 2024, 13h30 Germany Bundesliga I
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
PREDICTION RB Leipzig wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
ODD: @1.54 Don't miss this prediction!

RB Leipzig x SC Freiburg Betting tips for October 26 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for RB Leipzig x SC Freiburg, Saturday, 26/10/2024
📅 26/10/2024
13:30
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
1.54
X
4.33
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
5.38

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for RB Leipzig x SC Freiburg:

🔮 RB Leipzig wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on RB Leipzig, you can win up to $770.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for RB Leipzig x SC Freiburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-234.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Freiburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $140.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against SC Freiburg, RB Leipzig scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, RB Leipzig conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against SC Freiburg.
👉 RB Leipzig has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against SC Freiburg playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on RB Leipzig x SC Freiburg?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on RB Leipzig x SC Freiburg:

Analysis from RB Leipzig x SC Freiburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 26 of October

🏟️ RB Leipzig X SC Freiburg – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 26 of October, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 RB Leipzig – Winning probability: 73.15% | Fair line: 1.37
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.96% | Fair line: 7.16
🔴 SC Freiburg – Winning probability: 12.89% | Fair line: 7.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 RB Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on RB Leipzig x SC Freiburg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1208521 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for RB Leipzig x SC Freiburg

Is it worth betting on RB Leipzig?

🔵 RB Leipzig: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.54. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 730 times – having a profit of $394.20;
  • And would have lost other 270 times – with a loss of -$270.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$124.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $466.20;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$393.80.

Is it worth betting on SC Freiburg?

🔴 SC Freiburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $569.40;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$300.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match RB Leipzig x SC Freiburg

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 RB Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for RB Leipzig x SC Freiburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 RB Leipzig, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 RB Leipzig.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 SC Freiburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for RB Leipzig x SC Freiburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters