Aston Villa x Bournemouth Betting tips for October 26 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Aston Villa x Bournemouth, Saturday, 26/10/2024

📅 26/10/2024 14:00

Aston Villa 1.76

X 3.90

Bournemouth 4.28

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Aston Villa x Bournemouth:

🔮 Aston Villa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aston Villa, you can win up to $880.00!

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Important information for your tip for Aston Villa x Bournemouth: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $415.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bournemouth in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-255.0. 👉 Aston Villa did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Bournemouth, Aston Villa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Aston Villa matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Aston Villa x Bournemouth, with Aston Villa as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Bournemouth conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Aston Villa x Bournemouth for the England Premier League – 26 of October

When the best bet on Aston Villa x Bournemouth is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1209027 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aston Villa x Bournemouth

Is betting on Aston Villa worth it?

🔵 Aston Villa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 660 times – profiting $501.60;
• And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$161.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $609.00;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$181.00.

Is betting on Bournemouth worth it?

🔴 Bournemouth: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $426.40
• And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$443.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Aston Villa x Bournemouth

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Bournemouth

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Aston Villa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Aston Villa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Bournemouth.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aston Villa x Bournemouth

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.