Manchester City x Southampton Betting tips for October 26 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Manchester City x Southampton, Saturday, 26/10/2024

📅 26/10/2024 14:00

Manchester City 1.10

X 10.00

Southampton 20.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Manchester City x Southampton:

🔮 Manchester City wins the match
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Some important points for the tip for Manchester City x Southampton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-154.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Southampton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-333.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Manchester City scored at least 2.0 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Southampton scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Manchester City matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Southampton conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Manchester City is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Manchester City has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Southampton playing at home.

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Analysis from Manchester City x Southampton for the England Premier League – 26 of October

When the best bet on Manchester City x Southampton is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1209027 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Manchester City x Southampton

Is it worth betting on Manchester City?

🔵 Manchester City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 1000 times – this would give you a profit of $100.00
• And would lose other 0 times – having a loss of -$0.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$100.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 10.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it worth betting on Southampton?

🔴 Southampton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 20.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester City x Southampton

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.75 Manchester City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester City x Southampton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.75 Manchester City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.5 Manchester City.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.5 Manchester City.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester City x Southampton

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.