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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Angers x St Etienne Betting tips for October 26 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 26 October 2024, 15h00 France Ligue 1
Angers Angers
PREDICTION Angers wins Probability 48% 1 X 2
St Etienne St Etienne
ODD: @2.34 Don't miss this prediction!

Angers x St Etienne Betting tips for October 26 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Angers x St Etienne, Saturday, 26/10/2024
📅 26/10/2024
15:00
Angers Angers
2.34
X
3.28
St Etienne St Etienne
3.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Angers x St Etienne:

🔮 Angers wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Angers, you can win up to $1170.00!

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Important information for your tip for Angers x St Etienne:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Angers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on St Etienne in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Angers scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 St Etienne matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Angers conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, St Etienne conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Angers conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against St Etienne.

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Summary

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Analysis from Angers x St Etienne for the France Ligue 1 – 26 of October

🏟️ Angers X St Etienne – France Ligue 1
📅 26 of October, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Angers – Winning probability: 48.43% | Fair line: 2.06
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.60% | Fair line: 4.24
🔴 St Etienne – Winning probability: 27.96% | Fair line: 3.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Angers
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Angers x St Etienne is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1209027 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Angers x St Etienne

Should you bet on Angers?

🔵 Angers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $643.20;
  • And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$123.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $547.20
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$212.80.

Should you bet on St Etienne?

🔴 St Etienne: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $560.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Angers x St Etienne

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Angers
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Angers x St Etienne

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Angers and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Angers. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Angers x St Etienne

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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