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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Lens x Lille Betting tips for October 26 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 26 October 2024, 19h00 France Ligue 1
Lens Lens
PREDICTION Lens wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
Lille Lille
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Lens x Lille Betting tips for October 26 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Lens x Lille, Saturday, 26/10/2024
📅 26/10/2024
19:00
Lens Lens
2.30
X
3.36
Lille Lille
3.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lens x Lille:

🔮 Lens wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lens, you can win up to $1150.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Lens x Lille:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lens in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $48.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lille in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $265.0.
👉 Lens did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Lille, Lens scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Lens matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Lens conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Lille.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Lille has not lost any of them.
👉 Lens has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Lille playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Lens x Lille?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Lens x Lille:

Analysis from Lens x Lille for the France Ligue 1 – 26 of October

🏟️ Lens X Lille – France Ligue 1
📅 26 of October, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Lens – Winning probability: 49.44% | Fair line: 2.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.08% | Fair line: 3.83
🔴 Lille – Winning probability: 24.48% | Fair line: 4.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lens
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lens x Lille right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1209027 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lens x Lille

Should you bet on Lens?

🔵 Lens: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – profiting $637.00;
  • And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$127.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $613.60;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$126.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lille?

🔴 Lille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lens x Lille

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lens
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lens x Lille

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Lens, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Lens.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Lens.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lens x Lille

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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